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Quarterly economic outlook: Change is the only constant.

July 6, 2026
4 MIN READ 4 MIN READ

Sometimes, it seems, the only constant in this world is change. It would certainly be understandable for investors to feel that way at the midpoint of 2026. The halting progress toward a diplomatic resolution between Iran and the U.S. (which would allow shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz to fully recover) has occupied front-page headlines, as have the eye-watering levels of corporate investment in artificial intelligence (AI). 

Headlines have also focused on consequential shifts in areas such as military spending, central bank dynamics, exchange rates, capital markets, inflation, supply chains, weather patterns, and demographics. These shifts have unfolded at different speeds along a variety of timeframes. Some have brought us to historically unusual places and upended status quos, while others have allowed for continuity. Ultimately, the sum of these conditions may mean a variety of things for economies and markets—and inform how investors should engage with the current environment.

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Important Information

This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. Positioning and holdings are subject to change. All information as of the date indicated. There are risks involved with investing, including possible loss of principal. This information should not be relied upon by the reader as research or investment advice, (unless you have otherwise separately entered into a written agreement with SEI for the provision of investment advice) nor should it be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell a security. The reader should consult with their financial professional for more information.