Market Update

19 February 2010 by SEI Investment Management Unit

 

The Economy

  • Economic news showed that the recovery has continued to take hold, echoing our view that the global economy will gradually improve, although growth might be slow for some time.
  • Inflation in the U.K. rose in January to a full percentage point over the 2% target rate, but the Monetary Policy Committee stated it would not be tightening policy in the near term.
  • U.K. retail sales dropped well below economists’ forecasts, as winter weather hindered consumer spending.
  • The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its discount rate (which is the rate it charges to banks borrowing money) by 25 basis points to 50 basis points but reiterated that the federal funds rate (the rate banks charge each other to borrow money) will stay at record lows for “an extended period of time.”
  • In the U.S., the initial construction of new houses hit a six-month high in January, and factory output rose for the seventh consecutive month.
  • The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measurement of price inflation, posted a 0.2% increase, mostly due to higher fuel costs; the increase was less than expected and reflected subdued inflation. 
  • U.S. jobless claims grew unexpectedly by 31,000 to a seasonally adjusted level of 473,000.

Stocks

  • Global markets posted solid gains on news that the economic recovery is slowly taking hold.
  • In the U.K., Financials and Materials led, while Utilities, Healthcare and Telecommunications lagged.
  • In Europe, Industrials, Information Technology and Financials led, while Utilities, Healthcare and Consumer Staples lagged.
  • In the U.S., value stocks modestly underperformed their growth counterparts, and small-company stocks outperformed their large-company brethren. Industrials led the way, while Telecommunications lagged.

Bonds

  • Major government bond prices fell on positive economic data.
  • High-yield bonds (which are perceived to be riskier) significantly outperformed the broader bond markets, and emerging-market debt (also perceived to be riskier) posted modestly positive returns.
  • U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), which are inflation-linked notes (whose payments change based on an increase or decrease in inflation) issued by the U.S. Treasury, were mostly unchanged after the CPI numbers were released, showing that expectations for inflation are still minimal.
  • Yields on the U.K. 10-year gilt rose to 302 basis points, higher than the two-year and the most since mid-November.

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